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Wrexham vs Watford – Championship
xG
1.420.90
Shots
1612
Possession
52%48%
Corners
71
Cards
35
Fouls
109
Form Intelligence
medium dataWrexham
40
Intel score
Wrexham form edge
Wrexham rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (40 vs 31).
65% confWatford
31
Intel score
Wrexham carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Wrexham: 1.5 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read inflated.
- Watford: 0.5 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (70% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 2 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Wrexham↯ volatile
1.50weighted PPG
raw 1.50 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.26Venue-adj 1.33
65% conf · n=10Watford→ stable
0.50weighted PPG
raw 0.60 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.79Venue-adj 0.20
65% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Wrexham
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable